Modelos predictivos
Análisis de modelos
Precisión histórica por temporada, liga y modelo.
Ficha de modelos
24/08/2026 08:51
Predicciones
107.017
15.932 partidos evaluados
Acierto global
63,78%
68.258 aciertos · 38.759 fallos
Mejor modelo
Ensemble selectivo
76,77%
Cobertura
9
27 temporadas con datos
Ranking de modelos
Incluye los 9 modelos registrados; los que no tengan predicciones aparecen sin datos.
Qué muestra: lista los 9 modelos registrados y suma sus predicciones históricas evaluables cuando existen.
Lectura: más porcentaje significa más acierto bruto, pero modelos con backtest temporal estricto pueden tener menos predicciones.
1
Ensemble selectivo
07_ensemble_selectivo
76,77%
3.259 pred.
2
Modelo margen
09_modelo_margen_puntos
65,03%
11.976 pred.
3
Reg. logística + Elo
02_regresion_logistica_elo
63,98%
12.976 pred.
4
Ensemble calibrado
06_ensemble_calibrado
63,83%
11.976 pred.
5
Ensemble jugadores
05_ensemble_jugadores
63,53%
12.975 pred.
6
Comité especialistas
08_comite_especialistas
63,37%
11.976 pred.
7
Naive Bayes + stats
04_naive_bayes_stats
62,57%
12.976 pred.
8
Elo básico
01_elo_basico
62,55%
15.927 pred.
9
Naive Bayes + Elo
03_naive_bayes_elo
62,48%
12.976 pred.
Últimas temporadas
Rendimiento agregado por liga y temporada.
Qué muestra: las últimas temporadas agregadas por liga, con porcentaje de acierto, número de predicciones y consenso.
Consenso: solo cuenta partidos con predicción evaluable de los 9 modelos del ranking; OK significa que todos acertaron el ganador.
2025-26
Eurocup
64,93%
1.597
69,57%
2025-26
Euroliga
62,30%
3.297
81,48%
2025-26
NBA
66,92%
10.884
75,56%
2024-25
Eurocup
64,03%
1.604
80,56%
2024-25
Euroliga
63,45%
2.717
79,22%
2024-25
NBA
66,21%
10.842
77,36%
2023-24
Eurocup
66,04%
1.649
67,42%
2023-24
Euroliga
68,48%
2.770
71,31%
Calibración por tramos
Acierto real frente a la probabilidad media prometida por cada modelo.
Qué muestra: compara la probabilidad que daba el modelo con el acierto real dentro de cada tramo.
Lectura: si el tramo 70-75% acierta cerca de 70-75%, el modelo está bien calibrado; si acierta bastante menos, exagera.
| Modelo | Tramo | Pred. | Prob. media | Acierto real | Diferencia | Lectura |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo básico 01_elo_basico | 50-55% | 3.569 | 52,49% | 52,48% | -0,01% | Ajustado |
| Elo básico 01_elo_basico | 55-60% | 3.071 | 57,42% | 56,63% | -0,79% | Ajustado |
| Elo básico 01_elo_basico | 60-65% | 2.496 | 62,46% | 61,46% | -1,00% | Ajustado |
| Elo básico 01_elo_basico | 65-70% | 2.225 | 67,43% | 65,30% | -2,13% | Ajustado |
| Elo básico 01_elo_basico | 70-75% | 1.794 | 72,41% | 68,90% | -3,51% | Exagera |
| Elo básico 01_elo_basico | 75-80% | 1.316 | 77,32% | 73,40% | -3,92% | Exagera |
| Elo básico 01_elo_basico | 80-85% | 886 | 82,33% | 77,65% | -4,68% | Exagera |
| Elo básico 01_elo_basico | 85-90% | 450 | 86,98% | 80,89% | -6,09% | Exagera |
| Elo básico 01_elo_basico | 90-95% | 113 | 91,95% | 91,15% | -0,80% | Ajustado |
| Elo básico 01_elo_basico | 95-100% | 7 | 95,60% | 100,00% | +4,40% | Muestra baja |
| Reg. logística + Elo 02_regresion_logistica_elo | 50-55% | 2.316 | 52,50% | 52,20% | -0,30% | Ajustado |
| Reg. logística + Elo 02_regresion_logistica_elo | 55-60% | 2.387 | 57,50% | 57,35% | -0,15% | Ajustado |
| Reg. logística + Elo 02_regresion_logistica_elo | 60-65% | 2.233 | 62,45% | 60,99% | -1,46% | Ajustado |
| Reg. logística + Elo 02_regresion_logistica_elo | 65-70% | 1.958 | 67,45% | 64,61% | -2,84% | Ajustado |
| Reg. logística + Elo 02_regresion_logistica_elo | 70-75% | 1.652 | 72,44% | 71,73% | -0,71% | Ajustado |
| Reg. logística + Elo 02_regresion_logistica_elo | 75-80% | 1.224 | 77,35% | 75,74% | -1,61% | Ajustado |
| Reg. logística + Elo 02_regresion_logistica_elo | 80-85% | 757 | 82,19% | 79,79% | -2,40% | Ajustado |
| Reg. logística + Elo 02_regresion_logistica_elo | 85-90% | 365 | 86,99% | 83,01% | -3,98% | Exagera |
| Reg. logística + Elo 02_regresion_logistica_elo | 90-95% | 80 | 91,61% | 92,50% | +0,89% | Ajustado |
| Reg. logística + Elo 02_regresion_logistica_elo | 95-100% | 4 | 95,51% | 100,00% | +4,49% | Muestra baja |
| Naive Bayes + Elo 03_naive_bayes_elo | 50-55% | 1.352 | 52,46% | 53,03% | +0,57% | Ajustado |
| Naive Bayes + Elo 03_naive_bayes_elo | 55-60% | 1.312 | 57,60% | 52,90% | -4,70% | Exagera |
| Naive Bayes + Elo 03_naive_bayes_elo | 60-65% | 1.383 | 62,51% | 55,03% | -7,48% | Exagera |
| Naive Bayes + Elo 03_naive_bayes_elo | 65-70% | 1.376 | 67,47% | 57,70% | -9,77% | Exagera |
| Naive Bayes + Elo 03_naive_bayes_elo | 70-75% | 1.325 | 72,50% | 61,51% | -10,99% | Exagera |
| Naive Bayes + Elo 03_naive_bayes_elo | 75-80% | 1.346 | 77,46% | 60,70% | -16,76% | Exagera |
| Naive Bayes + Elo 03_naive_bayes_elo | 80-85% | 1.395 | 82,51% | 68,67% | -13,84% | Exagera |
| Naive Bayes + Elo 03_naive_bayes_elo | 85-90% | 1.388 | 87,50% | 69,45% | -18,05% | Exagera |
| Naive Bayes + Elo 03_naive_bayes_elo | 90-95% | 1.317 | 92,46% | 75,78% | -16,68% | Exagera |
| Naive Bayes + Elo 03_naive_bayes_elo | 95-100% | 782 | 97,20% | 75,45% | -21,75% | Exagera |
| Naive Bayes + stats 04_naive_bayes_stats | 50-55% | 625 | 52,45% | 46,56% | -5,89% | Exagera |
| Naive Bayes + stats 04_naive_bayes_stats | 55-60% | 609 | 57,58% | 52,87% | -4,71% | Exagera |
| Naive Bayes + stats 04_naive_bayes_stats | 60-65% | 640 | 62,50% | 50,94% | -11,56% | Exagera |
| Naive Bayes + stats 04_naive_bayes_stats | 65-70% | 659 | 67,39% | 55,39% | -12,00% | Exagera |
| Naive Bayes + stats 04_naive_bayes_stats | 70-75% | 731 | 72,44% | 52,80% | -19,64% | Exagera |
| Naive Bayes + stats 04_naive_bayes_stats | 75-80% | 872 | 77,57% | 59,52% | -18,05% | Exagera |
| Naive Bayes + stats 04_naive_bayes_stats | 80-85% | 1.007 | 82,57% | 57,50% | -25,07% | Exagera |
| Naive Bayes + stats 04_naive_bayes_stats | 85-90% | 1.195 | 87,59% | 62,34% | -25,25% | Exagera |
| Naive Bayes + stats 04_naive_bayes_stats | 90-95% | 1.701 | 92,68% | 63,37% | -29,31% | Exagera |
| Naive Bayes + stats 04_naive_bayes_stats | 95-100% | 4.937 | 98,37% | 71,06% | -27,31% | Exagera |
| Ensemble jugadores 05_ensemble_jugadores | 50-55% | 1.897 | 52,54% | 51,24% | -1,30% | Ajustado |
| Ensemble jugadores 05_ensemble_jugadores | 55-60% | 1.955 | 57,51% | 55,65% | -1,86% | Ajustado |
| Ensemble jugadores 05_ensemble_jugadores | 60-65% | 1.983 | 62,44% | 58,45% | -3,99% | Exagera |
| Ensemble jugadores 05_ensemble_jugadores | 65-70% | 1.863 | 67,40% | 64,09% | -3,31% | Exagera |
| Ensemble jugadores 05_ensemble_jugadores | 70-75% | 1.603 | 72,45% | 68,68% | -3,77% | Exagera |
| Ensemble jugadores 05_ensemble_jugadores | 75-80% | 1.357 | 77,39% | 72,44% | -4,95% | Exagera |
| Ensemble jugadores 05_ensemble_jugadores | 80-85% | 1.127 | 82,39% | 75,16% | -7,23% | Exagera |
| Ensemble jugadores 05_ensemble_jugadores | 85-90% | 682 | 87,26% | 74,63% | -12,63% | Exagera |
| Ensemble jugadores 05_ensemble_jugadores | 90-95% | 399 | 92,23% | 76,19% | -16,04% | Exagera |
| Ensemble jugadores 05_ensemble_jugadores | 95-100% | 109 | 96,37% | 78,90% | -17,47% | Exagera |
| Ensemble calibrado 06_ensemble_calibrado | 50-55% | 2.598 | 52,50% | 53,81% | +1,31% | Ajustado |
| Ensemble calibrado 06_ensemble_calibrado | 55-60% | 2.511 | 57,48% | 58,46% | +0,98% | Ajustado |
| Ensemble calibrado 06_ensemble_calibrado | 60-65% | 2.190 | 62,45% | 61,37% | -1,08% | Ajustado |
| Ensemble calibrado 06_ensemble_calibrado | 65-70% | 1.898 | 67,42% | 68,34% | +0,92% | Ajustado |
| Ensemble calibrado 06_ensemble_calibrado | 70-75% | 1.332 | 72,35% | 73,05% | +0,70% | Ajustado |
| Ensemble calibrado 06_ensemble_calibrado | 75-80% | 876 | 77,31% | 78,77% | +1,46% | Ajustado |
| Ensemble calibrado 06_ensemble_calibrado | 80-85% | 437 | 82,13% | 81,92% | -0,21% | Ajustado |
| Ensemble calibrado 06_ensemble_calibrado | 85-90% | 130 | 86,74% | 86,92% | +0,18% | Ajustado |
| Ensemble calibrado 06_ensemble_calibrado | 90-95% | 4 | 90,83% | 75,00% | -15,83% | Muestra baja |
| Ensemble selectivo 07_ensemble_selectivo | 65-70% | 54 | 69,11% | 77,78% | +8,67% | Conservador |
| Ensemble selectivo 07_ensemble_selectivo | 70-75% | 323 | 73,31% | 65,63% | -7,68% | Exagera |
| Ensemble selectivo 07_ensemble_selectivo | 75-80% | 1.004 | 77,86% | 73,21% | -4,65% | Exagera |
| Ensemble selectivo 07_ensemble_selectivo | 80-85% | 990 | 82,37% | 77,58% | -4,79% | Exagera |
| Ensemble selectivo 07_ensemble_selectivo | 85-90% | 653 | 87,29% | 81,93% | -5,36% | Exagera |
| Ensemble selectivo 07_ensemble_selectivo | 90-95% | 219 | 91,77% | 89,04% | -2,73% | Ajustado |
| Ensemble selectivo 07_ensemble_selectivo | 95-100% | 16 | 96,29% | 93,75% | -2,54% | Muestra baja |
| Comité especialistas 08_comite_especialistas | 50-55% | 1.562 | 52,50% | 50,77% | -1,73% | Ajustado |
| Comité especialistas 08_comite_especialistas | 55-60% | 1.523 | 57,50% | 55,02% | -2,48% | Ajustado |
| Comité especialistas 08_comite_especialistas | 60-65% | 1.535 | 62,47% | 58,83% | -3,64% | Exagera |
| Comité especialistas 08_comite_especialistas | 65-70% | 1.495 | 67,48% | 60,20% | -7,28% | Exagera |
| Comité especialistas 08_comite_especialistas | 70-75% | 1.480 | 72,46% | 66,89% | -5,57% | Exagera |
| Comité especialistas 08_comite_especialistas | 75-80% | 1.419 | 77,44% | 69,56% | -7,88% | Exagera |
| Comité especialistas 08_comite_especialistas | 80-85% | 1.217 | 82,42% | 71,90% | -10,52% | Exagera |
| Comité especialistas 08_comite_especialistas | 85-90% | 870 | 87,29% | 74,71% | -12,58% | Exagera |
| Comité especialistas 08_comite_especialistas | 90-95% | 579 | 92,39% | 75,13% | -17,26% | Exagera |
| Comité especialistas 08_comite_especialistas | 95-100% | 296 | 97,26% | 73,65% | -23,61% | Exagera |
| Modelo margen 09_modelo_margen_puntos | 50-55% | 2.071 | 52,49% | 52,39% | -0,10% | Ajustado |
| Modelo margen 09_modelo_margen_puntos | 55-60% | 2.203 | 57,44% | 56,47% | -0,97% | Ajustado |
| Modelo margen 09_modelo_margen_puntos | 60-65% | 2.090 | 62,45% | 62,82% | +0,37% | Ajustado |
| Modelo margen 09_modelo_margen_puntos | 65-70% | 1.904 | 67,51% | 66,39% | -1,12% | Ajustado |
| Modelo margen 09_modelo_margen_puntos | 70-75% | 1.429 | 72,40% | 72,50% | +0,10% | Ajustado |
| Modelo margen 09_modelo_margen_puntos | 75-80% | 1.094 | 77,29% | 76,78% | -0,51% | Ajustado |
| Modelo margen 09_modelo_margen_puntos | 80-85% | 767 | 82,32% | 83,83% | +1,51% | Ajustado |
| Modelo margen 09_modelo_margen_puntos | 85-90% | 359 | 87,11% | 85,79% | -1,32% | Ajustado |
| Modelo margen 09_modelo_margen_puntos | 90-95% | 59 | 91,35% | 93,22% | +1,87% | Ajustado |
Cuotas
Simulación temporal con 1 unidad por pick y última moneyline real disponible.
Cuota media: promedio de la cuota decimal apostada por el modelo. Break-even: acierto mínimo necesario para no perder dinero con esa cuota.
Beneficio: resultado apostando 1 unidad por pick. Si acierta gana cuota - 1; si falla pierde 1. ROI: beneficio dividido entre unidades apostadas.
Todas las picks: apuesta todos los partidos con cuota válida al equipo que el modelo marca como más probable.
Uso: sirve para medir qué pasaría siguiendo el modelo sin filtros de confianza ni valor esperado.
| Modelo | Apuestas | Cobertura | Cuota media | Break-even | % Acierto | Beneficio | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ensemble selectivo 07_ensemble_selectivo | 2.288 | 70,21% | 1,292 | 79,73% | 75,96% | -108,57 u | -4,75% |
| Ensemble calibrado 06_ensemble_calibrado | 8.563 | 71,50% | 1,641 | 65,90% | 63,70% | -252,66 u | -2,95% |
| Comité especialistas 08_comite_especialistas | 8.563 | 71,50% | 1,648 | 65,75% | 62,98% | -360,64 u | -4,21% |
| Ensemble jugadores 05_ensemble_jugadores | 9.273 | 71,47% | 1,641 | 65,97% | 63,25% | -361,61 u | -3,90% |
| Modelo margen 09_modelo_margen_puntos | 8.563 | 71,50% | 1,559 | 67,68% | 64,69% | -381,49 u | -4,46% |
| Naive Bayes + stats 04_naive_bayes_stats | 9.274 | 71,47% | 1,687 | 65,04% | 62,21% | -400,26 u | -4,32% |
| Elo básico 01_elo_basico | 11.463 | 71,97% | 1,643 | 66,03% | 63,46% | -424,38 u | -3,70% |
| Reg. logística + Elo 02_regresion_logistica_elo | 9.274 | 71,47% | 1,600 | 66,85% | 63,64% | -441,06 u | -4,76% |
| Naive Bayes + Elo 03_naive_bayes_elo | 9.274 | 71,47% | 1,664 | 65,48% | 62,34% | -449,26 u | -4,84% |
Solo valor esperado: filtra picks donde probabilidad del modelo × cuota es mayor que 1.
Uso: intenta quedarse solo con apuestas donde el modelo cree que la cuota paga más de lo que debería. Depende mucho de que la probabilidad esté bien calibrada.
| Modelo | Picks valor | % Valor | Cuota media | EV media | Beneficio | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ensemble selectivo 07_ensemble_selectivo | 1.164 | 50,87% | 1,433 | +16,04% | -41,70 u | -3,58% |
| Ensemble calibrado 06_ensemble_calibrado | 3.270 | 38,19% | 2,078 | +25,94% | -70,27 u | -2,15% |
| Comité especialistas 08_comite_especialistas | 5.148 | 60,12% | 1,841 | +29,92% | -202,01 u | -3,92% |
| Ensemble jugadores 05_ensemble_jugadores | 4.798 | 51,74% | 1,906 | +27,77% | -184,86 u | -3,85% |
| Modelo margen 09_modelo_margen_puntos | 3.257 | 38,04% | 1,836 | +15,67% | -89,31 u | -2,74% |
| Naive Bayes + stats 04_naive_bayes_stats | 8.458 | 91,20% | 1,716 | +48,62% | -341,53 u | -4,04% |
| Elo básico 01_elo_basico | 5.278 | 46,04% | 1,980 | +26,26% | -247,01 u | -4,68% |
| Reg. logística + Elo 02_regresion_logistica_elo | 4.038 | 43,54% | 1,904 | +21,52% | -197,53 u | -4,89% |
| Naive Bayes + Elo 03_naive_bayes_elo | 6.869 | 74,07% | 1,771 | +32,53% | -346,48 u | -5,04% |
Comparativa por temporada
Matriz de precisión y consenso entre modelos.
Qué muestra: una matriz por temporada para comparar rápido el rendimiento global y el rendimiento de cada modelo.
Consenso OK/KO: solo evalúa partidos cubiertos por los 9 modelos del ranking; OK mide que todos acertaron y KO que todos fallaron.
| Temporada | Liga | Pred. | % Global | Consenso OK | Consenso KO | Modelos | Elo básico | Reg. logística + Elo | Naive Bayes + Elo | Naive Bayes + stats | Ensemble jugadores | Ensemble calibrado | Ensemble selectivo | Comité especialistas | Modelo margen |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | Eurocup | 1.597 | 64,93% | 69,57% | 19,57% | 9 | 61,14% | 65,46% | 62,89% | 61,86% | 65,98% | 65,46% | 78,26% | 67,53% | 65,98% |
| 2025-26 | Euroliga | 3.297 | 62,30% | 81,48% | 16,05% | 9 | 57,71% | 61,94% | 60,70% | 62,19% | 61,44% | 63,43% | 82,72% | 64,93% | 61,94% |
| 2025-26 | NBA | 10.884 | 66,92% | 75,56% | 14,33% | 9 | 65,73% | 66,34% | 65,12% | 63,53% | 67,40% | 67,71% | 83,43% | 66,41% | 68,69% |
| 2024-25 | Eurocup | 1.604 | 64,03% | 80,56% | 16,67% | 9 | 62,24% | 63,78% | 66,33% | 66,33% | 61,22% | 63,27% | 83,33% | 61,73% | 63,78% |
| 2024-25 | Euroliga | 2.717 | 63,45% | 79,22% | 18,18% | 9 | 60,61% | 62,42% | 60,30% | 62,73% | 64,55% | 64,24% | 80,52% | 64,24% | 64,55% |
| 2024-25 | NBA | 10.842 | 66,21% | 77,36% | 16,17% | 9 | 66,23% | 66,00% | 63,71% | 63,10% | 66,21% | 67,23% | 82,48% | 65,93% | 66,69% |
| 2023-24 | Eurocup | 1.649 | 66,04% | 67,42% | 16,85% | 9 | 63,59% | 65,64% | 67,18% | 63,59% | 66,15% | 64,10% | 80,90% | 65,13% | 66,15% |
| 2023-24 | Euroliga | 2.770 | 68,48% | 71,31% | 15,57% | 9 | 60,12% | 69,18% | 65,86% | 68,28% | 69,49% | 70,69% | 79,51% | 67,67% | 72,51% |
| 2023-24 | NBA | 10.934 | 64,73% | 69,18% | 16,44% | 9 | 63,26% | 63,03% | 62,88% | 64,71% | 63,72% | 64,33% | 80,14% | 65,02% | 65,78% |
| 2022-23 | Eurocup | 1.626 | 64,45% | 68,66% | 14,93% | 9 | 64,95% | 66,67% | 66,15% | 62,05% | 62,56% | 64,62% | 80,60% | 60,51% | 62,56% |
| 2022-23 | Euroliga | 2.730 | 61,83% | 68,87% | 20,75% | 9 | 56,40% | 63,11% | 57,93% | 58,84% | 61,59% | 63,11% | 76,42% | 64,02% | 64,94% |
| 2022-23 | NBA | 10.850 | 60,81% | 58,58% | 23,67% | 9 | 60,27% | 61,42% | 59,74% | 59,13% | 60,35% | 60,65% | 71,30% | 58,90% | 63,32% |
| 2021-22 | Eurocup | 1.581 | 65,97% | 71,01% | 20,29% | 9 | 65,08% | 66,67% | 65,61% | 65,61% | 65,61% | 63,49% | 76,81% | 64,55% | 67,20% |
| 2021-22 | Euroliga | 2.480 | 63,79% | 67,05% | 17,05% | 9 | 59,53% | 64,88% | 62,54% | 65,22% | 63,88% | 62,21% | 78,41% | 61,20% | 66,56% |
| 2021-22 | NBA | 10.835 | 63,07% | 60,54% | 23,41% | 9 | 63,02% | 63,71% | 62,26% | 62,79% | 62,79% | 62,57% | 69,57% | 62,87% | 63,10% |
| 2020-21 | Eurocup | 1.517 | 64,86% | 60,87% | 19,57% | 9 | 57,38% | 66,30% | 63,04% | 64,13% | 66,30% | 65,22% | 71,74% | 67,39% | 67,39% |
| 2020-21 | Euroliga | 2.696 | 62,20% | 58,33% | 27,08% | 9 | 60,92% | 64,92% | 64,31% | 59,38% | 59,69% | 59,08% | 70,83% | 62,46% | 64,31% |
| 2020-21 | NBA | 9.581 | 61,15% | 60,54% | 22,22% | 9 | 61,97% | 60,69% | 61,63% | 60,34% | 58,97% | 60,77% | 70,50% | 60,60% | 62,15% |
| 2019-20 | Eurocup | 1.059 | 60,34% | 60,00% | 20,00% | 9 | 53,61% | 63,10% | 52,38% | 60,71% | 64,88% | 68,06% | 80,00% | 56,94% | 70,83% |
| 2019-20 | Euroliga | 1.761 | 65,36% | 76,19% | 11,90% | 9 | 57,54% | 63,89% | 64,29% | 65,87% | 67,86% | 65,36% | 88,10% | 68,63% | 67,97% |
| 2019-20 | NBA | 8.486 | 62,43% | 53,98% | 23,45% | 9 | 63,57% | 63,84% | 61,65% | 62,35% | 62,61% | 61,53% | 67,26% | 59,88% | 62,12% |
| 2018-19 | Eurocup | 257 | 68,09% | — | — | 5 | 65,95% | 72,22% | 66,67% | 77,78% | 77,78% | — | — | — | — |
| 2018-19 | Euroliga | 563 | 65,54% | — | — | 5 | 61,39% | 72,37% | 67,11% | 69,74% | 67,11% | — | — | — | — |
| 2018-19 | NBA | 2.988 | 62,52% | — | — | 5 | 63,26% | 63,72% | 60,38% | 60,38% | 63,25% | — | — | — | — |
| 2017-18 | Eurocup | 168 | 60,71% | — | — | 1 | 60,71% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017-18 | Euroliga | 249 | 60,24% | — | — | 1 | 60,24% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017-18 | NBA | 1.296 | 63,58% | — | — | 1 | 63,58% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Resumen por temporada
Totales agregados para revisar cobertura y consenso.
Qué muestra: totales por liga y temporada, agregando todos los modelos disponibles en esa temporada.
Uso: ayuda a detectar temporadas con menos cobertura. El consenso evaluado exige los 9 modelos del ranking en el mismo partido.
| Liga | Temporada | Modelos | Predicciones | % Global | Consenso evaluado | % Consenso OK | % Consenso KO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eurocup | 2025-26 | 9 | 1.597 | 64,93% | 46 | 69,57% | 19,57% |
| Euroliga | 2025-26 | 9 | 3.297 | 62,30% | 81 | 81,48% | 16,05% |
| NBA | 2025-26 | 9 | 10.884 | 66,92% | 356 | 75,56% | 14,33% |
| Eurocup | 2024-25 | 9 | 1.604 | 64,03% | 36 | 80,56% | 16,67% |
| Euroliga | 2024-25 | 9 | 2.717 | 63,45% | 77 | 79,22% | 18,18% |
| NBA | 2024-25 | 9 | 10.842 | 66,21% | 371 | 77,36% | 16,17% |
| Eurocup | 2023-24 | 9 | 1.649 | 66,04% | 89 | 67,42% | 16,85% |
| Euroliga | 2023-24 | 9 | 2.770 | 68,48% | 122 | 71,31% | 15,57% |
| NBA | 2023-24 | 9 | 10.934 | 64,73% | 438 | 69,18% | 16,44% |
| Eurocup | 2022-23 | 9 | 1.626 | 64,45% | 67 | 68,66% | 14,93% |
| Euroliga | 2022-23 | 9 | 2.730 | 61,83% | 106 | 68,87% | 20,75% |
| NBA | 2022-23 | 9 | 10.850 | 60,81% | 338 | 58,58% | 23,67% |
| Eurocup | 2021-22 | 9 | 1.581 | 65,97% | 69 | 71,01% | 20,29% |
| Euroliga | 2021-22 | 9 | 2.480 | 63,79% | 88 | 67,05% | 17,05% |
| NBA | 2021-22 | 9 | 10.835 | 63,07% | 299 | 60,54% | 23,41% |
| Eurocup | 2020-21 | 9 | 1.517 | 64,86% | 46 | 60,87% | 19,57% |
| Euroliga | 2020-21 | 9 | 2.696 | 62,20% | 96 | 58,33% | 27,08% |
| NBA | 2020-21 | 9 | 9.581 | 61,15% | 261 | 60,54% | 22,22% |
| Eurocup | 2019-20 | 9 | 1.059 | 60,34% | 5 | 60,00% | 20,00% |
| Euroliga | 2019-20 | 9 | 1.761 | 65,36% | 42 | 76,19% | 11,90% |
| NBA | 2019-20 | 9 | 8.486 | 62,43% | 226 | 53,98% | 23,45% |
| Eurocup | 2018-19 | 5 | 257 | 68,09% | 0 | — | — |
| Euroliga | 2018-19 | 5 | 563 | 65,54% | 0 | — | — |
| NBA | 2018-19 | 5 | 2.988 | 62,52% | 0 | — | — |
| Eurocup | 2017-18 | 1 | 168 | 60,71% | 0 | — | — |
| Euroliga | 2017-18 | 1 | 249 | 60,24% | 0 | — | — |
| NBA | 2017-18 | 1 | 1.296 | 63,58% | 0 | — | — |
Detalle por modelo
Desglose exacto de aciertos y fallos por temporada.
Qué muestra: desglose exacto por modelo, liga y temporada con aciertos, fallos, total evaluado y última actualización.
Uso: es la tabla de auditoría para revisar de dónde sale cada porcentaje del ranking.
| Modelo | Liga | Temporada | Aciertos | Fallos | Total | % Aciertos | % Fallos | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo básico 01_elo_basico | Eurocup | 2025-26 | 118 | 75 | 193 | 61,14% | 38,86% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Reg. logística + Elo 02_regresion_logistica_elo | Eurocup | 2025-26 | 127 | 67 | 194 | 65,46% | 34,54% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Naive Bayes + Elo 03_naive_bayes_elo | Eurocup | 2025-26 | 122 | 72 | 194 | 62,89% | 37,11% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Naive Bayes + stats 04_naive_bayes_stats | Eurocup | 2025-26 | 120 | 74 | 194 | 61,86% | 38,14% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Ensemble jugadores 05_ensemble_jugadores | Eurocup | 2025-26 | 128 | 66 | 194 | 65,98% | 34,02% | 24/08/2026 08:29 |
| Ensemble calibrado 06_ensemble_calibrado | Eurocup | 2025-26 | 127 | 67 | 194 | 65,46% | 34,54% | 24/08/2026 08:33 |
| Ensemble selectivo 07_ensemble_selectivo | Eurocup | 2025-26 | 36 | 10 | 46 | 78,26% | 21,74% | 24/08/2026 08:39 |
| Comité especialistas 08_comite_especialistas | Eurocup | 2025-26 | 131 | 63 | 194 | 67,53% | 32,47% | 24/08/2026 08:48 |
| Modelo margen 09_modelo_margen_puntos | Eurocup | 2025-26 | 128 | 66 | 194 | 65,98% | 34,02% | 24/08/2026 08:51 |
| Elo básico 01_elo_basico | Euroliga | 2025-26 | 232 | 170 | 402 | 57,71% | 42,29% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Reg. logística + Elo 02_regresion_logistica_elo | Euroliga | 2025-26 | 249 | 153 | 402 | 61,94% | 38,06% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Naive Bayes + Elo 03_naive_bayes_elo | Euroliga | 2025-26 | 244 | 158 | 402 | 60,70% | 39,30% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Naive Bayes + stats 04_naive_bayes_stats | Euroliga | 2025-26 | 250 | 152 | 402 | 62,19% | 37,81% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Ensemble jugadores 05_ensemble_jugadores | Euroliga | 2025-26 | 247 | 155 | 402 | 61,44% | 38,56% | 24/08/2026 08:29 |
| Ensemble calibrado 06_ensemble_calibrado | Euroliga | 2025-26 | 255 | 147 | 402 | 63,43% | 36,57% | 24/08/2026 08:33 |
| Ensemble selectivo 07_ensemble_selectivo | Euroliga | 2025-26 | 67 | 14 | 81 | 82,72% | 17,28% | 24/08/2026 08:39 |
| Comité especialistas 08_comite_especialistas | Euroliga | 2025-26 | 261 | 141 | 402 | 64,93% | 35,07% | 24/08/2026 08:48 |
| Modelo margen 09_modelo_margen_puntos | Euroliga | 2025-26 | 249 | 153 | 402 | 61,94% | 38,06% | 24/08/2026 08:51 |
| Elo básico 01_elo_basico | NBA | 2025-26 | 865 | 451 | 1.316 | 65,73% | 34,27% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Reg. logística + Elo 02_regresion_logistica_elo | NBA | 2025-26 | 873 | 443 | 1.316 | 66,34% | 33,66% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Naive Bayes + Elo 03_naive_bayes_elo | NBA | 2025-26 | 857 | 459 | 1.316 | 65,12% | 34,88% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Naive Bayes + stats 04_naive_bayes_stats | NBA | 2025-26 | 836 | 480 | 1.316 | 63,53% | 36,47% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Ensemble jugadores 05_ensemble_jugadores | NBA | 2025-26 | 887 | 429 | 1.316 | 67,40% | 32,60% | 24/08/2026 08:29 |
| Ensemble calibrado 06_ensemble_calibrado | NBA | 2025-26 | 891 | 425 | 1.316 | 67,71% | 32,29% | 24/08/2026 08:33 |
| Ensemble selectivo 07_ensemble_selectivo | NBA | 2025-26 | 297 | 59 | 356 | 83,43% | 16,57% | 24/08/2026 08:39 |
| Comité especialistas 08_comite_especialistas | NBA | 2025-26 | 874 | 442 | 1.316 | 66,41% | 33,59% | 24/08/2026 08:48 |
| Modelo margen 09_modelo_margen_puntos | NBA | 2025-26 | 904 | 412 | 1.316 | 68,69% | 31,31% | 24/08/2026 08:51 |
| Elo básico 01_elo_basico | Eurocup | 2024-25 | 122 | 74 | 196 | 62,24% | 37,76% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Reg. logística + Elo 02_regresion_logistica_elo | Eurocup | 2024-25 | 125 | 71 | 196 | 63,78% | 36,22% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Naive Bayes + Elo 03_naive_bayes_elo | Eurocup | 2024-25 | 130 | 66 | 196 | 66,33% | 33,67% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Naive Bayes + stats 04_naive_bayes_stats | Eurocup | 2024-25 | 130 | 66 | 196 | 66,33% | 33,67% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Ensemble jugadores 05_ensemble_jugadores | Eurocup | 2024-25 | 120 | 76 | 196 | 61,22% | 38,78% | 24/08/2026 08:29 |
| Ensemble calibrado 06_ensemble_calibrado | Eurocup | 2024-25 | 124 | 72 | 196 | 63,27% | 36,73% | 24/08/2026 08:33 |
| Ensemble selectivo 07_ensemble_selectivo | Eurocup | 2024-25 | 30 | 6 | 36 | 83,33% | 16,67% | 24/08/2026 08:39 |
| Comité especialistas 08_comite_especialistas | Eurocup | 2024-25 | 121 | 75 | 196 | 61,73% | 38,27% | 24/08/2026 08:47 |
| Modelo margen 09_modelo_margen_puntos | Eurocup | 2024-25 | 125 | 71 | 196 | 63,78% | 36,22% | 24/08/2026 08:51 |
| Elo básico 01_elo_basico | Euroliga | 2024-25 | 200 | 130 | 330 | 60,61% | 39,39% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Reg. logística + Elo 02_regresion_logistica_elo | Euroliga | 2024-25 | 206 | 124 | 330 | 62,42% | 37,58% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Naive Bayes + Elo 03_naive_bayes_elo | Euroliga | 2024-25 | 199 | 131 | 330 | 60,30% | 39,70% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Naive Bayes + stats 04_naive_bayes_stats | Euroliga | 2024-25 | 207 | 123 | 330 | 62,73% | 37,27% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Ensemble jugadores 05_ensemble_jugadores | Euroliga | 2024-25 | 213 | 117 | 330 | 64,55% | 35,45% | 24/08/2026 08:29 |
| Ensemble calibrado 06_ensemble_calibrado | Euroliga | 2024-25 | 212 | 118 | 330 | 64,24% | 35,76% | 24/08/2026 08:33 |
| Ensemble selectivo 07_ensemble_selectivo | Euroliga | 2024-25 | 62 | 15 | 77 | 80,52% | 19,48% | 24/08/2026 08:39 |
| Comité especialistas 08_comite_especialistas | Euroliga | 2024-25 | 212 | 118 | 330 | 64,24% | 35,76% | 24/08/2026 08:47 |
| Modelo margen 09_modelo_margen_puntos | Euroliga | 2024-25 | 213 | 117 | 330 | 64,55% | 35,45% | 24/08/2026 08:51 |
| Elo básico 01_elo_basico | NBA | 2024-25 | 867 | 442 | 1.309 | 66,23% | 33,77% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Reg. logística + Elo 02_regresion_logistica_elo | NBA | 2024-25 | 864 | 445 | 1.309 | 66,00% | 34,00% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Naive Bayes + Elo 03_naive_bayes_elo | NBA | 2024-25 | 834 | 475 | 1.309 | 63,71% | 36,29% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Naive Bayes + stats 04_naive_bayes_stats | NBA | 2024-25 | 826 | 483 | 1.309 | 63,10% | 36,90% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Ensemble jugadores 05_ensemble_jugadores | NBA | 2024-25 | 866 | 442 | 1.308 | 66,21% | 33,79% | 24/08/2026 08:29 |
| Ensemble calibrado 06_ensemble_calibrado | NBA | 2024-25 | 880 | 429 | 1.309 | 67,23% | 32,77% | 24/08/2026 08:33 |
| Ensemble selectivo 07_ensemble_selectivo | NBA | 2024-25 | 306 | 65 | 371 | 82,48% | 17,52% | 24/08/2026 08:39 |
| Comité especialistas 08_comite_especialistas | NBA | 2024-25 | 863 | 446 | 1.309 | 65,93% | 34,07% | 24/08/2026 08:47 |
| Modelo margen 09_modelo_margen_puntos | NBA | 2024-25 | 873 | 436 | 1.309 | 66,69% | 33,31% | 24/08/2026 08:51 |
| Elo básico 01_elo_basico | Eurocup | 2023-24 | 124 | 71 | 195 | 63,59% | 36,41% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Reg. logística + Elo 02_regresion_logistica_elo | Eurocup | 2023-24 | 128 | 67 | 195 | 65,64% | 34,36% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Naive Bayes + Elo 03_naive_bayes_elo | Eurocup | 2023-24 | 131 | 64 | 195 | 67,18% | 32,82% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Naive Bayes + stats 04_naive_bayes_stats | Eurocup | 2023-24 | 124 | 71 | 195 | 63,59% | 36,41% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Ensemble jugadores 05_ensemble_jugadores | Eurocup | 2023-24 | 129 | 66 | 195 | 66,15% | 33,85% | 24/08/2026 08:29 |
| Ensemble calibrado 06_ensemble_calibrado | Eurocup | 2023-24 | 125 | 70 | 195 | 64,10% | 35,90% | 24/08/2026 08:33 |
| Ensemble selectivo 07_ensemble_selectivo | Eurocup | 2023-24 | 72 | 17 | 89 | 80,90% | 19,10% | 24/08/2026 08:38 |
| Comité especialistas 08_comite_especialistas | Eurocup | 2023-24 | 127 | 68 | 195 | 65,13% | 34,87% | 24/08/2026 08:46 |
| Modelo margen 09_modelo_margen_puntos | Eurocup | 2023-24 | 129 | 66 | 195 | 66,15% | 33,85% | 24/08/2026 08:51 |
| Elo básico 01_elo_basico | Euroliga | 2023-24 | 199 | 132 | 331 | 60,12% | 39,88% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Reg. logística + Elo 02_regresion_logistica_elo | Euroliga | 2023-24 | 229 | 102 | 331 | 69,18% | 30,82% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Naive Bayes + Elo 03_naive_bayes_elo | Euroliga | 2023-24 | 218 | 113 | 331 | 65,86% | 34,14% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Naive Bayes + stats 04_naive_bayes_stats | Euroliga | 2023-24 | 226 | 105 | 331 | 68,28% | 31,72% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Ensemble jugadores 05_ensemble_jugadores | Euroliga | 2023-24 | 230 | 101 | 331 | 69,49% | 30,51% | 24/08/2026 08:29 |
| Ensemble calibrado 06_ensemble_calibrado | Euroliga | 2023-24 | 234 | 97 | 331 | 70,69% | 29,31% | 24/08/2026 08:33 |
| Ensemble selectivo 07_ensemble_selectivo | Euroliga | 2023-24 | 97 | 25 | 122 | 79,51% | 20,49% | 24/08/2026 08:38 |
| Comité especialistas 08_comite_especialistas | Euroliga | 2023-24 | 224 | 107 | 331 | 67,67% | 32,33% | 24/08/2026 08:46 |
| Modelo margen 09_modelo_margen_puntos | Euroliga | 2023-24 | 240 | 91 | 331 | 72,51% | 27,49% | 24/08/2026 08:51 |
| Elo básico 01_elo_basico | NBA | 2023-24 | 830 | 482 | 1.312 | 63,26% | 36,74% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Reg. logística + Elo 02_regresion_logistica_elo | NBA | 2023-24 | 827 | 485 | 1.312 | 63,03% | 36,97% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Naive Bayes + Elo 03_naive_bayes_elo | NBA | 2023-24 | 825 | 487 | 1.312 | 62,88% | 37,12% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Naive Bayes + stats 04_naive_bayes_stats | NBA | 2023-24 | 849 | 463 | 1.312 | 64,71% | 35,29% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Ensemble jugadores 05_ensemble_jugadores | NBA | 2023-24 | 836 | 476 | 1.312 | 63,72% | 36,28% | 24/08/2026 08:29 |
| Ensemble calibrado 06_ensemble_calibrado | NBA | 2023-24 | 844 | 468 | 1.312 | 64,33% | 35,67% | 24/08/2026 08:33 |
| Ensemble selectivo 07_ensemble_selectivo | NBA | 2023-24 | 351 | 87 | 438 | 80,14% | 19,86% | 24/08/2026 08:38 |
| Comité especialistas 08_comite_especialistas | NBA | 2023-24 | 853 | 459 | 1.312 | 65,02% | 34,98% | 24/08/2026 08:46 |
| Modelo margen 09_modelo_margen_puntos | NBA | 2023-24 | 863 | 449 | 1.312 | 65,78% | 34,22% | 24/08/2026 08:51 |
| Elo básico 01_elo_basico | Eurocup | 2022-23 | 126 | 68 | 194 | 64,95% | 35,05% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Reg. logística + Elo 02_regresion_logistica_elo | Eurocup | 2022-23 | 130 | 65 | 195 | 66,67% | 33,33% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Naive Bayes + Elo 03_naive_bayes_elo | Eurocup | 2022-23 | 129 | 66 | 195 | 66,15% | 33,85% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Naive Bayes + stats 04_naive_bayes_stats | Eurocup | 2022-23 | 121 | 74 | 195 | 62,05% | 37,95% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Ensemble jugadores 05_ensemble_jugadores | Eurocup | 2022-23 | 122 | 73 | 195 | 62,56% | 37,44% | 24/08/2026 08:29 |
| Ensemble calibrado 06_ensemble_calibrado | Eurocup | 2022-23 | 126 | 69 | 195 | 64,62% | 35,38% | 24/08/2026 08:33 |
| Ensemble selectivo 07_ensemble_selectivo | Eurocup | 2022-23 | 54 | 13 | 67 | 80,60% | 19,40% | 24/08/2026 08:38 |
| Comité especialistas 08_comite_especialistas | Eurocup | 2022-23 | 118 | 77 | 195 | 60,51% | 39,49% | 24/08/2026 08:46 |
| Modelo margen 09_modelo_margen_puntos | Eurocup | 2022-23 | 122 | 73 | 195 | 62,56% | 37,44% | 24/08/2026 08:51 |
| Elo básico 01_elo_basico | Euroliga | 2022-23 | 185 | 143 | 328 | 56,40% | 43,60% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Reg. logística + Elo 02_regresion_logistica_elo | Euroliga | 2022-23 | 207 | 121 | 328 | 63,11% | 36,89% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Naive Bayes + Elo 03_naive_bayes_elo | Euroliga | 2022-23 | 190 | 138 | 328 | 57,93% | 42,07% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Naive Bayes + stats 04_naive_bayes_stats | Euroliga | 2022-23 | 193 | 135 | 328 | 58,84% | 41,16% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Ensemble jugadores 05_ensemble_jugadores | Euroliga | 2022-23 | 202 | 126 | 328 | 61,59% | 38,41% | 24/08/2026 08:29 |
| Ensemble calibrado 06_ensemble_calibrado | Euroliga | 2022-23 | 207 | 121 | 328 | 63,11% | 36,89% | 24/08/2026 08:33 |
| Ensemble selectivo 07_ensemble_selectivo | Euroliga | 2022-23 | 81 | 25 | 106 | 76,42% | 23,58% | 24/08/2026 08:38 |
| Comité especialistas 08_comite_especialistas | Euroliga | 2022-23 | 210 | 118 | 328 | 64,02% | 35,98% | 24/08/2026 08:46 |
| Modelo margen 09_modelo_margen_puntos | Euroliga | 2022-23 | 213 | 115 | 328 | 64,94% | 35,06% | 24/08/2026 08:51 |
| Elo básico 01_elo_basico | NBA | 2022-23 | 792 | 522 | 1.314 | 60,27% | 39,73% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Reg. logística + Elo 02_regresion_logistica_elo | NBA | 2022-23 | 807 | 507 | 1.314 | 61,42% | 38,58% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Naive Bayes + Elo 03_naive_bayes_elo | NBA | 2022-23 | 785 | 529 | 1.314 | 59,74% | 40,26% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Naive Bayes + stats 04_naive_bayes_stats | NBA | 2022-23 | 777 | 537 | 1.314 | 59,13% | 40,87% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Ensemble jugadores 05_ensemble_jugadores | NBA | 2022-23 | 793 | 521 | 1.314 | 60,35% | 39,65% | 24/08/2026 08:29 |
| Ensemble calibrado 06_ensemble_calibrado | NBA | 2022-23 | 797 | 517 | 1.314 | 60,65% | 39,35% | 24/08/2026 08:33 |
| Ensemble selectivo 07_ensemble_selectivo | NBA | 2022-23 | 241 | 97 | 338 | 71,30% | 28,70% | 24/08/2026 08:38 |
| Comité especialistas 08_comite_especialistas | NBA | 2022-23 | 774 | 540 | 1.314 | 58,90% | 41,10% | 24/08/2026 08:46 |
| Modelo margen 09_modelo_margen_puntos | NBA | 2022-23 | 832 | 482 | 1.314 | 63,32% | 36,68% | 24/08/2026 08:51 |
| Elo básico 01_elo_basico | Eurocup | 2021-22 | 123 | 66 | 189 | 65,08% | 34,92% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Reg. logística + Elo 02_regresion_logistica_elo | Eurocup | 2021-22 | 126 | 63 | 189 | 66,67% | 33,33% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Naive Bayes + Elo 03_naive_bayes_elo | Eurocup | 2021-22 | 124 | 65 | 189 | 65,61% | 34,39% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Naive Bayes + stats 04_naive_bayes_stats | Eurocup | 2021-22 | 124 | 65 | 189 | 65,61% | 34,39% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Ensemble jugadores 05_ensemble_jugadores | Eurocup | 2021-22 | 124 | 65 | 189 | 65,61% | 34,39% | 24/08/2026 08:29 |
| Ensemble calibrado 06_ensemble_calibrado | Eurocup | 2021-22 | 120 | 69 | 189 | 63,49% | 36,51% | 24/08/2026 08:33 |
| Ensemble selectivo 07_ensemble_selectivo | Eurocup | 2021-22 | 53 | 16 | 69 | 76,81% | 23,19% | 24/08/2026 08:38 |
| Comité especialistas 08_comite_especialistas | Eurocup | 2021-22 | 122 | 67 | 189 | 64,55% | 35,45% | 24/08/2026 08:45 |
| Modelo margen 09_modelo_margen_puntos | Eurocup | 2021-22 | 127 | 62 | 189 | 67,20% | 32,80% | 24/08/2026 08:51 |
| Elo básico 01_elo_basico | Euroliga | 2021-22 | 178 | 121 | 299 | 59,53% | 40,47% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Reg. logística + Elo 02_regresion_logistica_elo | Euroliga | 2021-22 | 194 | 105 | 299 | 64,88% | 35,12% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Naive Bayes + Elo 03_naive_bayes_elo | Euroliga | 2021-22 | 187 | 112 | 299 | 62,54% | 37,46% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Naive Bayes + stats 04_naive_bayes_stats | Euroliga | 2021-22 | 195 | 104 | 299 | 65,22% | 34,78% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Ensemble jugadores 05_ensemble_jugadores | Euroliga | 2021-22 | 191 | 108 | 299 | 63,88% | 36,12% | 24/08/2026 08:29 |
| Ensemble calibrado 06_ensemble_calibrado | Euroliga | 2021-22 | 186 | 113 | 299 | 62,21% | 37,79% | 24/08/2026 08:33 |
| Ensemble selectivo 07_ensemble_selectivo | Euroliga | 2021-22 | 69 | 19 | 88 | 78,41% | 21,59% | 24/08/2026 08:38 |
| Comité especialistas 08_comite_especialistas | Euroliga | 2021-22 | 183 | 116 | 299 | 61,20% | 38,80% | 24/08/2026 08:45 |
| Modelo margen 09_modelo_margen_puntos | Euroliga | 2021-22 | 199 | 100 | 299 | 66,56% | 33,44% | 24/08/2026 08:51 |
| Elo básico 01_elo_basico | NBA | 2021-22 | 830 | 487 | 1.317 | 63,02% | 36,98% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Reg. logística + Elo 02_regresion_logistica_elo | NBA | 2021-22 | 839 | 478 | 1.317 | 63,71% | 36,29% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Naive Bayes + Elo 03_naive_bayes_elo | NBA | 2021-22 | 820 | 497 | 1.317 | 62,26% | 37,74% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Naive Bayes + stats 04_naive_bayes_stats | NBA | 2021-22 | 827 | 490 | 1.317 | 62,79% | 37,21% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Ensemble jugadores 05_ensemble_jugadores | NBA | 2021-22 | 827 | 490 | 1.317 | 62,79% | 37,21% | 24/08/2026 08:29 |
| Ensemble calibrado 06_ensemble_calibrado | NBA | 2021-22 | 824 | 493 | 1.317 | 62,57% | 37,43% | 24/08/2026 08:33 |
| Ensemble selectivo 07_ensemble_selectivo | NBA | 2021-22 | 208 | 91 | 299 | 69,57% | 30,43% | 24/08/2026 08:38 |
| Comité especialistas 08_comite_especialistas | NBA | 2021-22 | 828 | 489 | 1.317 | 62,87% | 37,13% | 24/08/2026 08:45 |
| Modelo margen 09_modelo_margen_puntos | NBA | 2021-22 | 831 | 486 | 1.317 | 63,10% | 36,90% | 24/08/2026 08:51 |
| Elo básico 01_elo_basico | Eurocup | 2020-21 | 105 | 78 | 183 | 57,38% | 42,62% | 24/08/2026 08:25 |
| Reg. logística + Elo 02_regresion_logistica_elo | Eurocup | 2020-21 | 122 | 62 | 184 | 66,30% | 33,70% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Naive Bayes + Elo 03_naive_bayes_elo | Eurocup | 2020-21 | 116 | 68 | 184 | 63,04% | 36,96% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Naive Bayes + stats 04_naive_bayes_stats | Eurocup | 2020-21 | 118 | 66 | 184 | 64,13% | 35,87% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Ensemble jugadores 05_ensemble_jugadores | Eurocup | 2020-21 | 122 | 62 | 184 | 66,30% | 33,70% | 24/08/2026 08:29 |
| Ensemble calibrado 06_ensemble_calibrado | Eurocup | 2020-21 | 120 | 64 | 184 | 65,22% | 34,78% | 24/08/2026 08:33 |
| Ensemble selectivo 07_ensemble_selectivo | Eurocup | 2020-21 | 33 | 13 | 46 | 71,74% | 28,26% | 24/08/2026 08:37 |
| Comité especialistas 08_comite_especialistas | Eurocup | 2020-21 | 124 | 60 | 184 | 67,39% | 32,61% | 24/08/2026 08:44 |
| Modelo margen 09_modelo_margen_puntos | Eurocup | 2020-21 | 124 | 60 | 184 | 67,39% | 32,61% | 24/08/2026 08:51 |
| Elo básico 01_elo_basico | Euroliga | 2020-21 | 198 | 127 | 325 | 60,92% | 39,08% | 24/08/2026 08:25 |
| Reg. logística + Elo 02_regresion_logistica_elo | Euroliga | 2020-21 | 211 | 114 | 325 | 64,92% | 35,08% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Naive Bayes + Elo 03_naive_bayes_elo | Euroliga | 2020-21 | 209 | 116 | 325 | 64,31% | 35,69% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Naive Bayes + stats 04_naive_bayes_stats | Euroliga | 2020-21 | 193 | 132 | 325 | 59,38% | 40,62% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Ensemble jugadores 05_ensemble_jugadores | Euroliga | 2020-21 | 194 | 131 | 325 | 59,69% | 40,31% | 24/08/2026 08:29 |
| Ensemble calibrado 06_ensemble_calibrado | Euroliga | 2020-21 | 192 | 133 | 325 | 59,08% | 40,92% | 24/08/2026 08:33 |
| Ensemble selectivo 07_ensemble_selectivo | Euroliga | 2020-21 | 68 | 28 | 96 | 70,83% | 29,17% | 24/08/2026 08:37 |
| Comité especialistas 08_comite_especialistas | Euroliga | 2020-21 | 203 | 122 | 325 | 62,46% | 37,54% | 24/08/2026 08:44 |
| Modelo margen 09_modelo_margen_puntos | Euroliga | 2020-21 | 209 | 116 | 325 | 64,31% | 35,69% | 24/08/2026 08:51 |
| Elo básico 01_elo_basico | NBA | 2020-21 | 722 | 443 | 1.165 | 61,97% | 38,03% | 24/08/2026 08:25 |
| Reg. logística + Elo 02_regresion_logistica_elo | NBA | 2020-21 | 707 | 458 | 1.165 | 60,69% | 39,31% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Naive Bayes + Elo 03_naive_bayes_elo | NBA | 2020-21 | 718 | 447 | 1.165 | 61,63% | 38,37% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Naive Bayes + stats 04_naive_bayes_stats | NBA | 2020-21 | 703 | 462 | 1.165 | 60,34% | 39,66% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Ensemble jugadores 05_ensemble_jugadores | NBA | 2020-21 | 687 | 478 | 1.165 | 58,97% | 41,03% | 24/08/2026 08:29 |
| Ensemble calibrado 06_ensemble_calibrado | NBA | 2020-21 | 708 | 457 | 1.165 | 60,77% | 39,23% | 24/08/2026 08:33 |
| Ensemble selectivo 07_ensemble_selectivo | NBA | 2020-21 | 184 | 77 | 261 | 70,50% | 29,50% | 24/08/2026 08:37 |
| Comité especialistas 08_comite_especialistas | NBA | 2020-21 | 706 | 459 | 1.165 | 60,60% | 39,40% | 24/08/2026 08:44 |
| Modelo margen 09_modelo_margen_puntos | NBA | 2020-21 | 724 | 441 | 1.165 | 62,15% | 37,85% | 24/08/2026 08:51 |
| Elo básico 01_elo_basico | Eurocup | 2019-20 | 89 | 77 | 166 | 53,61% | 46,39% | 24/08/2026 08:25 |
| Reg. logística + Elo 02_regresion_logistica_elo | Eurocup | 2019-20 | 106 | 62 | 168 | 63,10% | 36,90% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Naive Bayes + Elo 03_naive_bayes_elo | Eurocup | 2019-20 | 88 | 80 | 168 | 52,38% | 47,62% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Naive Bayes + stats 04_naive_bayes_stats | Eurocup | 2019-20 | 102 | 66 | 168 | 60,71% | 39,29% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Ensemble jugadores 05_ensemble_jugadores | Eurocup | 2019-20 | 109 | 59 | 168 | 64,88% | 35,12% | 24/08/2026 08:29 |
| Ensemble calibrado 06_ensemble_calibrado | Eurocup | 2019-20 | 49 | 23 | 72 | 68,06% | 31,94% | 24/08/2026 08:33 |
| Ensemble selectivo 07_ensemble_selectivo | Eurocup | 2019-20 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 80,00% | 20,00% | 24/08/2026 08:37 |
| Comité especialistas 08_comite_especialistas | Eurocup | 2019-20 | 41 | 31 | 72 | 56,94% | 43,06% | 24/08/2026 08:44 |
| Modelo margen 09_modelo_margen_puntos | Eurocup | 2019-20 | 51 | 21 | 72 | 70,83% | 29,17% | 24/08/2026 08:51 |
| Elo básico 01_elo_basico | Euroliga | 2019-20 | 145 | 107 | 252 | 57,54% | 42,46% | 24/08/2026 08:25 |
| Reg. logística + Elo 02_regresion_logistica_elo | Euroliga | 2019-20 | 161 | 91 | 252 | 63,89% | 36,11% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Naive Bayes + Elo 03_naive_bayes_elo | Euroliga | 2019-20 | 162 | 90 | 252 | 64,29% | 35,71% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Naive Bayes + stats 04_naive_bayes_stats | Euroliga | 2019-20 | 166 | 86 | 252 | 65,87% | 34,13% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Ensemble jugadores 05_ensemble_jugadores | Euroliga | 2019-20 | 171 | 81 | 252 | 67,86% | 32,14% | 24/08/2026 08:29 |
| Ensemble calibrado 06_ensemble_calibrado | Euroliga | 2019-20 | 100 | 53 | 153 | 65,36% | 34,64% | 24/08/2026 08:33 |
| Ensemble selectivo 07_ensemble_selectivo | Euroliga | 2019-20 | 37 | 5 | 42 | 88,10% | 11,90% | 24/08/2026 08:37 |
| Comité especialistas 08_comite_especialistas | Euroliga | 2019-20 | 105 | 48 | 153 | 68,63% | 31,37% | 24/08/2026 08:44 |
| Modelo margen 09_modelo_margen_puntos | Euroliga | 2019-20 | 104 | 49 | 153 | 67,97% | 32,03% | 24/08/2026 08:51 |
| Elo básico 01_elo_basico | NBA | 2019-20 | 726 | 416 | 1.142 | 63,57% | 36,43% | 24/08/2026 08:25 |
| Reg. logística + Elo 02_regresion_logistica_elo | NBA | 2019-20 | 729 | 413 | 1.142 | 63,84% | 36,16% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Naive Bayes + Elo 03_naive_bayes_elo | NBA | 2019-20 | 704 | 438 | 1.142 | 61,65% | 38,35% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Naive Bayes + stats 04_naive_bayes_stats | NBA | 2019-20 | 712 | 430 | 1.142 | 62,35% | 37,65% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Ensemble jugadores 05_ensemble_jugadores | NBA | 2019-20 | 715 | 427 | 1.142 | 62,61% | 37,39% | 24/08/2026 08:29 |
| Ensemble calibrado 06_ensemble_calibrado | NBA | 2019-20 | 523 | 327 | 850 | 61,53% | 38,47% | 24/08/2026 08:33 |
| Ensemble selectivo 07_ensemble_selectivo | NBA | 2019-20 | 152 | 74 | 226 | 67,26% | 32,74% | 24/08/2026 08:37 |
| Comité especialistas 08_comite_especialistas | NBA | 2019-20 | 509 | 341 | 850 | 59,88% | 40,12% | 24/08/2026 08:44 |
| Modelo margen 09_modelo_margen_puntos | NBA | 2019-20 | 528 | 322 | 850 | 62,12% | 37,88% | 24/08/2026 08:51 |
| Elo básico 01_elo_basico | Eurocup | 2018-19 | 122 | 63 | 185 | 65,95% | 34,05% | 24/08/2026 08:25 |
| Reg. logística + Elo 02_regresion_logistica_elo | Eurocup | 2018-19 | 13 | 5 | 18 | 72,22% | 27,78% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Naive Bayes + Elo 03_naive_bayes_elo | Eurocup | 2018-19 | 12 | 6 | 18 | 66,67% | 33,33% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Naive Bayes + stats 04_naive_bayes_stats | Eurocup | 2018-19 | 14 | 4 | 18 | 77,78% | 22,22% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Ensemble jugadores 05_ensemble_jugadores | Eurocup | 2018-19 | 14 | 4 | 18 | 77,78% | 22,22% | 24/08/2026 08:29 |
| Elo básico 01_elo_basico | Euroliga | 2018-19 | 159 | 100 | 259 | 61,39% | 38,61% | 24/08/2026 08:25 |
| Reg. logística + Elo 02_regresion_logistica_elo | Euroliga | 2018-19 | 55 | 21 | 76 | 72,37% | 27,63% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Naive Bayes + Elo 03_naive_bayes_elo | Euroliga | 2018-19 | 51 | 25 | 76 | 67,11% | 32,89% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Naive Bayes + stats 04_naive_bayes_stats | Euroliga | 2018-19 | 53 | 23 | 76 | 69,74% | 30,26% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Ensemble jugadores 05_ensemble_jugadores | Euroliga | 2018-19 | 51 | 25 | 76 | 67,11% | 32,89% | 24/08/2026 08:29 |
| Elo básico 01_elo_basico | NBA | 2018-19 | 830 | 482 | 1.312 | 63,26% | 36,74% | 24/08/2026 08:25 |
| Reg. logística + Elo 02_regresion_logistica_elo | NBA | 2018-19 | 267 | 152 | 419 | 63,72% | 36,28% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Naive Bayes + Elo 03_naive_bayes_elo | NBA | 2018-19 | 253 | 166 | 419 | 60,38% | 39,62% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Naive Bayes + stats 04_naive_bayes_stats | NBA | 2018-19 | 253 | 166 | 419 | 60,38% | 39,62% | 24/08/2026 08:26 |
| Ensemble jugadores 05_ensemble_jugadores | NBA | 2018-19 | 265 | 154 | 419 | 63,25% | 36,75% | 24/08/2026 08:29 |
| Elo básico 01_elo_basico | Eurocup | 2017-18 | 102 | 66 | 168 | 60,71% | 39,29% | 24/08/2026 08:25 |
| Elo básico 01_elo_basico | Euroliga | 2017-18 | 150 | 99 | 249 | 60,24% | 39,76% | 24/08/2026 08:25 |
| Elo básico 01_elo_basico | NBA | 2017-18 | 824 | 472 | 1.296 | 63,58% | 36,42% | 24/08/2026 08:25 |